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General Interest

STICKS “TRUMP” CARROTS FOR NORTH KOREA

If the US and Japan could make it clear to China that the consequence of inaction would be a nuclear armed Japan that might be an adequate incentive.

USA TODAY MAGAZINE (September 2017)

USA Today Mag-Sept 17-Marsh

TECHNICAL BASIS FOR THE ARTICLE IN SEPTEMBER USA TODAY MAGIZINE

General Interest
Nuclear Policy
Politics
USA Today Magazine

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A NEW SOCIAL CONTRACT

“What is happening as the average citizen looks on in disbelief is that an outworn, patched politico-economic system is cracking, while no serious steps are taken to ascertain the causes and remedies.”

USA TODAY MAGAZINE (JANUARY 2017):

A New Social Contract-USA Today Mag Jan 2017

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

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WEINBERG’S LAMENT: SCIENCE AND RELIGION

Weinberg’s lament is the rather gloomy conclusion that the existence of the universe, and of intelligence in particular, appears to have no meaning. This essay explores the epistemological basis of this lament.

src_vol3_issue1_pp-49-54

Science, Religion & Culture Vol. 3 Issue 1 pp.49-54 (2016)

Essays in Science
General Interest

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CLIMATE CHANGE SHENANIGANS

The climate modeling community is confident that its models are adequate to be a basis for public policy decisions, despite the illegitimacy of ensemble averaging and the deficiencies with regard to the second law of thermodynamics.

 

USA TODAY MAGAZINE  climate-shenanigans

General Interest
Global Warming
Politics

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NYT: “A Nuclear Legacy Within Reach”

The 8 August 2016 lead editorial of the New York Times made a financial argument against modernization of the nuclear arsenal — including the land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles.  They then noted that former Defense Secretary William Perry had argued that land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles are no longer needed.  Concluding that, “the time has come to think seriously about whether that leg of the traditional air-sea-land triad should be gradually retired”.   Only one letter was published on 15 August that partly addressed the real problem associated with this leg of the triad.  Here is the letter I wrote that addresses the issue:

To the Editor:

William Perry, as you report in your editorial of 8 August, is correct that land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles are no longer needed. What was not said is that their mere existence increases the probability of accidental war.  As former defense secretary Perry well knows, these missiles are not survivable under nuclear attack.  Historically, and no doubt currently, the lack of survivability drives national policy to a launch-on-warning posture.  What this means is that when satellite and radar systems both indicate a massive ballistic missile attack, the President is given barely enough time to make a couple of phone calls before he must make the decision to launch the missiles or lose them.  It has happened in the past that both satellite and radar systems have falsely indicated a nuclear attack.  The nation went to the highest defense readiness condition but luckily the indication of an attack was found to be a false alert before the President was called.

At one time land-based ballistic missiles had a greater accuracy than survivable sea-based systems, but this hasn’t been the case for many years.  The country would be well served by taking this opportunity to unilaterally eliminate them.

General Interest
Nuclear Policy
Politics

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SENSE, THOUGHT, AND CONSCIOUSNESS

The late 19th and 20th centuries brought a revolution in the scientific understanding of the universe around us, one whose effects are still being felt around the world as it forces people to change their conception of the universe and the place of human beings within it.  Perhaps the greatest remaining mystery is the nature of consciousness itself, which has been a subject of human inquiry for at least the last several millennia. In this essay, I discuss the nature of thought and consciousness and argue that that consciousness and thought are natural biological phenomena.

Updated version (4 April 2016)

SENSE, THOUGHT & CONSCIOUSNESS-Rev 1 (2016)

Biology
Essays in Science
General Interest

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ENERGY FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE

(with S. Fred Singer)

Many people believe that wind and solar energy are essential for replacing nonrenewable fossil fuels. They also believe that wind and solar are unique in providing energy that’s carbon-free and inexhaustible. A closer look shows that such beliefs are based on illusions and wishful thinking.

Op-Ed in The Bridge: Linking Engineering and Society (Winter 2015)

Published quarterly by the National Academy of Engineering

Singer-Marsh_Bridgev45n4

 

General Interest
Nuclear Policy
Politics

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THE BARBARIANS ARE AT THE GATE

The key to understanding the current chaos in the Middle East is to recognize that the primary identity of its people is with their religion, sect, tribe, family — not the states formed following the breakup of the Ottoman Empire.

USA Today Magazine (November 2015)

MARSH-ISIS

 

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

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THE POPE SOUNDS OFF ON ECONOMICS AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Pope Francis’ encyclical Laudato Si. A strong and heartfelt critique of the existing socioeconomic system.

 

USA Today Magazine

USA TODAY MAG-LAUDATO SI

General Interest
Politics

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THE PRESIDENT JUST DOESN’T GET IT

USA TODAY MAGAZINE-November 2014

Defeat of the Islamic State cannot be achieved by solely military means and, most especially, not by Western military actions such as the air strikes—even if given the cover of a coalition containing Arab nations; nor can military operations decrease the spread of beliefs upon which radical Islam is based.

USA TODAY-MARSH-MIDEAST

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

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