TeamTools

General Interest

NYT: “A Nuclear Legacy Within Reach”

The 8 August 2016 lead editorial of the New York Times made a financial argument against modernization of the nuclear arsenal — including the land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles.  They then noted that former Defense Secretary William Perry had argued that land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles are no longer needed.  Concluding that, “the time has come to think seriously about whether that leg of the traditional air-sea-land triad should be gradually retired”.   Only one letter was published on 15 August that partly addressed the real problem associated with this leg of the triad.  Here is the letter I wrote that addresses the issue:

To the Editor:

William Perry, as you report in your editorial of 8 August, is correct that land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles are no longer needed. What was not said is that their mere existence increases the probability of accidental war.  As former defense secretary Perry well knows, these missiles are not survivable under nuclear attack.  Historically, and no doubt currently, the lack of survivability drives national policy to a launch-on-warning posture.  What this means is that when satellite and radar systems both indicate a massive ballistic missile attack, the President is given barely enough time to make a couple of phone calls before he must make the decision to launch the missiles or lose them.  It has happened in the past that both satellite and radar systems have falsely indicated a nuclear attack.  The nation went to the highest defense readiness condition but luckily the indication of an attack was found to be a false alert before the President was called.

At one time land-based ballistic missiles had a greater accuracy than survivable sea-based systems, but this hasn’t been the case for many years.  The country would be well served by taking this opportunity to unilaterally eliminate them.

General Interest
Nuclear Policy
Politics

Permalink

SENSE, THOUGHT, AND CONSCIOUSNESS

The late 19th and 20th centuries brought a revolution in the scientific understanding of the universe around us, one whose effects are still being felt around the world as it forces people to change their conception of the universe and the place of human beings within it.  Perhaps the greatest remaining mystery is the nature of consciousness itself, which has been a subject of human inquiry for at least the last several millennia. In this essay, I discuss the nature of thought and consciousness and argue that that consciousness and thought are natural biological phenomena.

Updated version (4 April 2016)

SENSE, THOUGHT & CONSCIOUSNESS-Rev 1 (2016)

Biology
Essays in Science
General Interest

Permalink

ENERGY FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE

(with S. Fred Singer)

Many people believe that wind and solar energy are essential for replacing nonrenewable fossil fuels. They also believe that wind and solar are unique in providing energy that’s carbon-free and inexhaustible. A closer look shows that such beliefs are based on illusions and wishful thinking.

Op-Ed in The Bridge: Linking Engineering and Society (Winter 2015)

Published quarterly by the National Academy of Engineering

Singer-Marsh_Bridgev45n4

 

General Interest
Nuclear Policy
Politics

Permalink

THE BARBARIANS ARE AT THE GATE

The key to understanding the current chaos in the Middle East is to recognize that the primary identity of its people is with their religion, sect, tribe, family — not the states formed following the breakup of the Ottoman Empire.

USA Today Magazine (November 2015)

MARSH-ISIS

 

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

Permalink

THE POPE SOUNDS OFF ON ECONOMICS AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Pope Francis’ encyclical Laudato Si. A strong and heartfelt critique of the existing socioeconomic system.

 

USA Today Magazine

USA TODAY MAG-LAUDATO SI

General Interest
Politics

Permalink

THE PRESIDENT JUST DOESN’T GET IT

USA TODAY MAGAZINE-November 2014

Defeat of the Islamic State cannot be achieved by solely military means and, most especially, not by Western military actions such as the air strikes—even if given the cover of a coalition containing Arab nations; nor can military operations decrease the spread of beliefs upon which radical Islam is based.

USA TODAY-MARSH-MIDEAST

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

Permalink

THE HUMAN CONDITION AND THE 21st CENTURY

The phrase “the human condition” has come to mean many things to different people, but here it simply refers to what history has shown to be the inescapable features of being human.  In this essay we take a look at current trends, what they foretell for the remainder of this century, and how the characteristics that make us human might affect the evolution of those trends.

PDF:  THE HUMAN CONDITION

Biology
General Interest
Politics

Permalink

SCIENCE AND RELIGION

An interview by Prof. Adrian N. Guiu (Wright College, Chicago, IL) on Science & Religion.

Part 1:

Part 2:

Part 3:

Part 4:

General Interest

Permalink

HAS THE WHOLE WORLD LOST ITS HEAD?

We surely have the means to deal with the locally rational but globally nuts dilemma, the question is whether we collectively have the will to do so. This perhaps is the most important problem we face in the 21st century.

USA Today Magazine-Nov 2013

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

Permalink

Spring Has Sprung, but the Middle East Remains a Muddle

USA Today Magazine (January 2013)

 

The Arab Spring was a dramatic result of a policy failure on the part of Arab countries. For many decades they have used the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to divert the attention of their own citizens, the so-called “Arab street”, from their own economic and domestic failure to deliver a decent life to their people.

USA TODAY Jan2013

General Interest
Politics
USA Today Magazine

Permalink