{ Category Archives }
Distributed by the Strategy and Policy Division (N51) of the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (December 1992).
This report continues to have relevance in today’s world.
Applied Physics Communications Vol 8, p. 227 (1988)
Coauthor: Robert Piacesi
[A shortened version of this article also appeared in Physics & Society (January 1989)]
Markov processes represent a powerful method for quantifying questions related to the survivability of strategic nuclear forces. This paper gives an elementary introduction to Markow processes and chains followed by a simple anti-submarine warfare example in which the scenario of a surveillance-surge attack is treated as a steady state Markov process.
Physics Today Vol. 40, p. 36 (August 1987) Part 1(PDF) Part 2 (PDF)
Coauthor: Jack Evernden
Failure to account properly for geological and seismological differences between the US and Soviet test sites has led to overestimates of Soviet tests and to incorrect claims of Soviet cheating on the treaty limit of 150 kilotons.